Letter Dr Paul Dorfman: Further to the correspondence on Chernobyl (May 7 & 13), I led the European Environment Agency response to the accident. We found that precise estimation of the health effects from the Chernobyl accident is difficult, because the evidence is contradictory and conflicting. The International Atomic Energy Authority, focusing only on Belarus, Ukraine and the Russian Federation, predicted a total mortality of about 4,000. The United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Radiation (UNSCEAR) found no evidence of significant cancer incidence or mortality rates related to Chernobyl exposure, other than childhood thyroid cancer incidence, which is uncontroversially accepted to be responsible for about 5,000 childhood thyroid cancers. However, given that both parties estimate a total worldwide collective dose of 600,000 person-Sieverts over 50 years from Chernobyl fallout, and the standard risk estimate is 0.057 fatal cancers per Sievert, this translates into 34,000 fatal cancers over that time period across the world. A reasonably conservative estimate for post-Chernobyl cancer mortality ranges from 17,000 to 68,000 over 50 years.
Times 17th May 2016 read more »
This theme park in the graveyard town of Pripyat, Ukraine was due to open in 1986. But just one week before it opened, the Chernobyl power plant exploded in the world’s most devastating nuclear disaster. Now, 30 years on, the structures stand in ruins with rides that have never been ridden.
Daily Star 17th May 2016 read more »